June 9, 2013 // Notre Dame Football

Vegas Still Loves Notre Dame Football

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Notre Dame 2013 Betting Odds

Notre Dame is stil favored in 10 of 12 contests for this fall in early betting lines even with the loss of Everett Golson for the entire 2013 season.

Notre Dame fans might be all doom and gloom these days since learning that Everett Golson won’t be the starting quarterback for Notre Dame this fall after being dismissed from the University, but the sudden and abrupt departure of Golson hasn’t dimmed Las Vegas oddsmakers outlook on the 2013 Fighting Irish.

In very early odds released by the Golden Nugget at the end of last week, Notre Dame is currently favorited in 10 out 12 games and in one of the two games they are the underdog, the game is marked as a pick ‘em right now.  Here is the full rundown of the current odds for all games on the 2013 Notre Dame Football schedule.

  • Temple at Notre Dame (-24)
  • Notre Dame at Michigan (Pick ‘em)
  • Notre Dame (-14) at Purdue
  • Michigan State at Notre Dame (-6)
  • Oklahoma at Notre Dame (-2)
  • Arizona State vs. Notre Dame (-4)
  • USC at Notre Dame (-5)
  • Notre Dame (-18) at Air Force
  • Navy at Notre Dame (-18)
  • Notre Dame (-10.5) at Pittsburgh
  • BYU at Notre Dame (-11)
  • Notre Dame (+5.5) at Stanford

Before jumping into some of the more interesting lines here, take all of these lines with a huge grain of salt at this point and remember that Vegas goal is not to accurately predict the outcomes of football games – its goal is to make money by creating lines that influence people to bet the way they want them to so that they make the most money possible.

With that being said, some of these lines are still a little surprising to me given the shake up the quarterback position will see for Notre Dame with the loss of Golson.

The USC and Oklahoma lines immediately jump out to me.  Notre Dame didn’t put USC away until very late in the game and hard a heck of a time scoring points with Golson at the helm last year in LA.  The Irish get the Trojans at home this year, but the last time Tommy Rees started a game at home against USC, things didn’t go that well for him or the Notre Dame offense.

Notre Dame beat Oklahoma 31-13 last year in Norman, but the final score of that game was a bit misleading since that was a close, hard-fought game for three and a half quarters of football.  The Irish did run the ball on Oklahoma with a bit more ease than they did USC though.

Some of these early lines look really high too.  Notre Dame as a 24 point favorite in week one against Temple?  The Owls might not be a tough week one matchup for Notre Dame, but at the same time the Irish offense will be ushering in a new starter at quaterback, tight end, running back, center, and right guard on August 31.  That has the look of a game Notre Dame could win easily, but with the offense struggling at times.

An 11 point spread against BYU looks a bit high too considering all the trouble that the Cougars gave the Irish last year in South Bend in the one game Rees started when Golson was sidelined with a concussion.

The Arizona State line worries me a little bit too.  Notre Dame being less of a favorite right now over ASU than USC could mean Vegas wants people to take Notre Dame in that game right now meaning they feel Arizona State has a good chance to beat the Irish.

Notre Dame was terrible against the spread last year after playing so many close games and it’s likely they won’t perform much better against the spread this year if the actual lines resemble these early ones from the Golden Nugget.   Of course, Vegas could also be looking to take advantage of emotional bettors fans by having the Irish favorited in so many games right now in hopes they will over-react and beat heavily against the Irish.

At the end of the day, all of these lines don’t mean a whole lot come kick-off time, but if nothing else , it is very interesting to see that even after losing last year’s starting quarterback very unexpectedly that Vegas still favors the Irish.

 

Comments to this Article

  • JC commented on June 9th, 2013 at 8:42 pm

    I see 11 season wins, “if” GAIII shows up big this year. Not really worried about QB play. The QB who does not turn the ball over will play, straight forward by BK. Besides, this is year 4 and QB’s come and go routinely, hahaha. Hey, last year our star Hiesman hopeful RB rode the pine most of the year and we won 12 games! Last year when I said we win out after OU, well, I won’t repeat some of the comments. Yeah, the next year crowd lives even today. Oh, I said this line wasn’t ready for years. Hahaha. I’m a hell of a lot more optimistic this year we are going back to visit Bama than last year. Our line play will dominate the schedule. So in the end, zero improvement everywhere else? Sorry wrong tune guys! This team is going to kick some A$$. Period. Not too worry, it’s definately going to be an exciting year!

    11-1 will get us back in the Championship Game!

    Here come our beloved Irish! Foxsports 1 Regis & Lou & Allen Pinkett!

    [Reply]

    Charlene replied on August 3rd, 2013 at 12:32 pm

    G O I R I S H. This is the 25th since the last National title we had – 1988 – remember it well. This is OUR year! Bama has had theirs and now it is OUR TURN!!

    [Reply]

    duranko replied on August 3rd, 2013 at 4:58 pm

    char, there might be something in the pipeline that will relive that Silver anniversary team of 1988. Stay tuned.

    [Reply]

  • ARMAC commented on June 10th, 2013 at 6:32 am

    Vegas expects the Irish defense to dominate. If regular-season opponents score fewer than 10 points per game as they did last year, they predict the offense can average something like 17 points per game.

    With Golson gone we will see an offensive strategy much like last year. Run when you can, pass when it’s safe, punt as often as you have to, play field position and the clock…

    Exciting football? No. But with this defense, it is a proven way to win. Also, Brian Kelly may use another QB to take advantage of defenses that overplay Tommy’s shortcomings. No redshirt for Malik.

    [Reply]

  • Toulmin H. Brown commented on June 10th, 2013 at 10:34 am

    “Notre Dame fans might be all doom and gloom these days since learning that Everett Golson won’t be the starting quarterback for Notre Dame this fall after being dismissed from the University, but the sudden and abrupt departure of Golson hasn’t dimmed Las Vegas oddsmakers outlook on the 2013 Fighting Irish.”

    Eveett Golson did not rally Notre Dame versus Alabama & I mean no disrespect to the former ND standout QB. The BCS NC could be seen as a Final if you use your imagination.

    [Reply]

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