Notre Dame Football Primer: North Carolina ’17

Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

Notre Dame hits the road for its third road game of the season already on Saturday to take on the Tarheels of North Carolina.  With questions surrounding the status of starting quarterback Brandon Wimbush, what looked like an easy matchup at one time now is much more intriguing.  Here’s all you need to know to get ready for the game in our weekly primer.

What you Need to Know:

  • Game Time: October 7th at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC
  • Location: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Matchup: Notre Dame is 17-2 all-time against the Tar Heels (Last Meeting 2014)
  • Odds: Notre Dame -14
  • GameDay Events: The Notre Dame Club of Eastern North Carolina will be hosting a Pep Rally that is free to the public. This will take place at St. Thomas More Catholic Church Hall, Chapel Hill, North Carolina at 8:00 p.m. For more details visit http://eastnc.undclub.org

Game Day Weather:

The current forecast calls for a high of 82 degrees with an overnight low of 62 degrees. There will be only a 10% chance of rain on GameDay.

Partly Cloudy
Friday 12/15 0%
Partly Cloudy
Partly cloudy. Lows overnight in the upper 20s.
Clear
Saturday 12/16 0%
Clear
Sunny skies. High 52F. Winds light and variable.
Mostly Cloudy
Sunday 12/17 10%
Mostly Cloudy
Partly cloudy skies in the morning will give way to cloudy skies during the afternoon. High 58F. Winds light and variable.

North Carolina Details:

  • Conference: ACC
  • Head Coach: Larry Fedora
  • 2017 Record: 1-4
  • 2016 Record: 8-5

North Carolina Storylines:

North Carolina has 13 players who are out for the season. Another 6 players are questionable to play against the Irish Saturday. It appears that North Carolina is facing many of the same injury challenges that plagued Notre Dame in 2015. The depleted Tar Heel roster will attempt to stop an Irish team that has dominated competition for most of the season.

Can North Carolina stop the Notre Dame rushing attack? After North Carolina gave up 33 points and 403 rushing yards to Georgia Tech last weekend, it’s not likely. The Yellow Jackets ran the ball 66 times for an average of 6.1 yards per rush against the Tar Heels. This weekend the Tar Heels will be facing an even better offensive line.

As bad as the Tar Heel defense played last weekend, the offense wasn’t any better. North Carolina was 2 of 12 on third downs, however 3 of 3 on 4th downs. Quarterback Chazz Surratt is a dual threat with 18 completions for 141 yards and 30 rushing yards on 11 attempts last week. Both the rushing and passing attacks were nowhere to be found last weekend as the Tar Heels only put up 247 yards of total offense on the board.

Notre Dame Storylines:

Once again, the main topic is the passing game. One might say that the offense has dominated every team except Georgia. I will not argue that. However, in order for Notre Dame to go undefeated the rest of the season and have a chance at the playoffs, the passing game has to be more consistent.

Wimbush is one of the best overall quarterbacks in the country when you factor in what he has accomplished with the running game. Nevertheless, if Brandon goes 7 for 18 against Miami of Ohio, what will happen when he faces the “real” Miami, the Hurricanes down the road. Yes, Wimbush played well against Michigan State, but the inconsistency is apparent.

Will Notre Dame have its starting quarterback for Saturday? Wimbush is listed as day-to-day after experiencing foot soreness following the Miami game. Ian Book and Brandon Wimbush have been splitting reps on and off during practice. As of now, I expect Wimbush to start against the Tar Heels. However, if Wimbush’s minor injury does not improve it may be Ian Book starting under center. Although the Tar Heels are beat up, Ian Book’s first career start would be on the road against ACC competition, not an easy task.

How healthy will Notre Dame be at the running back position? The Irish will have all their running backs available for the North Carolina game according to Coach Kelly.  Josh Adams, Dexter Williams, and Tony Jones Jr. are all expected to be back for the Tar Heels. Adams is having a phenomenal year and averages 9 yards per carry while Saquon Barkley (Penn State) only averages 6.7 and gets the national attention. Sometimes it’s more about the quality of team and not the individual, hopefully as the Irish continue to win Adams will get more notoriety.

Head to Head Matchups:

Notre Dame Offense vs. North Carolina Defense – The North Carolina Defense is no match for the Notre Dame Offense . North Carolina will look to load the box, but it still won’t matter. The dual threat of both Wimbush and Adams running the ball will be too much to handle. Look for the passing game to be better than last week as Brandon Wimbush continues to develop.

North Carolina Offense vs. Notre Dame Defense – The Irish Defense has yet to allow a team to score over 20 points this season. Notre Dame is taking the ball away from teams and getting pressure on the quarterback. Mike Elko’s defense continues to get better each week, the Tar Heels will have a hard time finding the end zone against this defense, as many opponents have also had.

Special Teams- Tie – Notre Dame showed some trickery against Miami last weekend, as special teams coach Brian Polian got a fist bump on the sidelines. The North Carolina kicker, Freeman Jones, is only 3 of 6 on the season, but I doubt field goals will be any factor in this game. I still expect CJ Sanders to return a kickoff at some point this season, he is long overdue.

My Prediction:

Before the year started, I thought that this would be a tough matchup and a trap game before the bye week heading into USC week. However, the Tar Heels are decimated. Early in the season they were competing with teams like California and Louisville, but last week they got destroyed.

Notre Dame will likely run the ball early in the game to build up the lead and then work on the passing attack as the game progresses. Unfortunately, the Irish do not have anything to gain in this game from a strength of schedule or resume standpoint.

From all indications, Brian Kelly is just being cautionary with Wimbush’s injury. I expect him to start this Saturday. If he cannot for some reason, I would still anticipate an Irish victory. Ian Book is a quality backup and the running game is something he can rely on heavily against an injured Tar Heels team.

My Prediction: Notre Dame 42 North Carolina 13

RELATED
Notre Dame Road to the Playoffs '17: Week 10 Game Guide

You may also like

10 comments

  1. ccb 2 months ago

    Book to throw 2 td passes in 35-10 rout.

    Reply Like Dislike
  2. Greg Kelly 2 months ago

    Defense will set up Book for a couple of easy red zone scores. Irish 27-17

    Reply Like Dislike
    1. Brad Sinclair 2 months ago

      I saw Book play in the Miami game and I was impressed. He certainly didn’t look gun shy. I know Wimbush is an outstanding runner but Book took off when he had to and looked very confident. I am not nervous with him under centre.

      Reply Like Dislike
  3. Danny G. 2 months ago

    I agree Damian, I also live in Penn State land, You know how State fans are, if they have a good player that’s all you hear about. Adams is a beast, maybe not as shifty and doesn’t have the hands of Barkley, but good pass blocker and great top end speed, one cut and see ya, his first touch down run Saturday for example, made the cut against the lb and zoom to the end zone. I love this kids game, if he didn’t get hurt he would have run for 250-300 yrds no prob. this week end should be more of the same. Pound the rock. Feed the beast. Enter the bye with that warm and fuzzy feeling of victory, then destroy those boys from So Cal and send them back to their Mama’s!!!! GO IRISH!!!!!!!

    Reply Like Dislike
    1. Damian 2 months ago

      I joke around with them saying how great would be if ND and PSU were to meat in a playoff games. The media would love it since Wimbush was originally a PSU recruit. I could see the headlines now “Wimbush vs. PSU”

      I’d like to see ND-PSU games again, just because of where I live.

      Reply Like Dislike
  4. Brad Sinclair 2 months ago

    Nice work on the article. If I am Josh Adams I am very happy about being ignored by some of the college football hoopla. The insiders know that he is a horse and surely the NFL knows that he is a horse. That’s what matters most. I don’t like when a player gets over-hyped – it’s difficult to live up to those expectations.

    As for NC, I agree with Mr. Owens. Pound the line with the running game and then work on the passing game. Wimbush can do it. I’ll say it again, however, enough with him taking off as a running quarterback. We all know that he can run but we’re asking for a serious accident if he exposes himself too much.

    On defence I would love to see a complete game from the boys. I don’t care if it is ‘only NC.’ Do Alabama and Clemson take it easy on lesser opponents? I don’t think so. ND shouldn’t either. I am not talking about running up the score but rather shutting down the opposition.

    Go Irish!!!!!

    Brad Sinclair

    Reply Like Dislike
    1. Damian 2 months ago

      It’s true that limited hype is a good thing for a number of good reasons. What counts ultimately is the stats at the end of the year. Same for the team. They are flying bit under the radar. Win out and they’ll be rewarded with a playoff spot I believe. Beat USC and they’ll probably start to get noticed. But if they falter, it saves them the embarrassment of being overhyped.

      I think PSU is heading for a fall when they hit the meat of their schedule. Then all the hype will come back to bite them. It’s best to sneak up on people as a good team then to be exposed as a fraud.

      Reply Like Dislike
      1. Damian 2 months ago

        Not that I’m saying PSU isn’t a good team. It’s just that the only decent team they faced thus far is Iowa, and it came down to the last play of the game. They have yet to face the really good teams in their conference.

        Like Dislike
  5. Damian 2 months ago

    Adams is a beast with the ball, and I agree that he is unfairly ignored. I live in PSU country and Barkley gets all the accolades like he’s the best running back that ever walked the Earth around here. And I know our schedule outside of Georgia has been a bit light thus far, but PSU is running up scores on teams like Akron, Georgia State and Indiana. Yeah, you know, I think BC and Temple could probably smack around Georgia State too. I actually had a PSU fan say you know, Indiana actually has a good team. I was just like oookaaay.

    Reply Like Dislike
    1. Bruce Gregory Curme 2 months ago

      Damian,
      The Heisman is always hype now. It used to be hype sometimes. Now it always is.

      Reply Like Dislike