Last week the Fighting Irish handled the Blue Devils 38-7 and look to continue that trend back in South Bend. This week, Notre Dame faces off against the twenty-third ranked team in the nation, Navy, and look to finish the season strong. For the Fighting Irish to win this game, they will have to be disciplined on the defensive side of the ball. Navy runs a flexbone offense that sets up the triple option from that formation. If the defensive players for the Fighting Irish do their jobs and stay discipline, it will be difficult for Navy to move the ball. On paper, the Fighting Irish defense easily wins the matchup against Navy’s offense. But the way that Navy’s offense is set up, if the defense cheats, there will be some big plays, and Notre Dame might end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard.
Notre Dame is 7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS, and 6 of their 9 games have hit the under.
Betting Odds & Point Spread:
- Game Spread: Opened ND -10 / Current ND -7.5
- Game Total: Opened 55 / Current 54.5
- First Half Spread: ND -4
- First Half Total: 27
- Team Totals: Navy 22 / ND 31
Navy comes into this game with a 7-1 record, but the Fighting Irish are their toughest opponents. The Midshipmen have had some easy matchups before walking into South Bend this week. Even though they haven’t played the toughest schedule, they have won easily in most of their games. Their offense is led by quarterback Malcolm Perry, who is a dual-threat. He has 722 yards and five touchdowns in the air and 1,042 yards and 16 touchdowns on the ground. Behind Perry and running the triple option, they have been able to average over 40 points per game in their first eight games of the season. But this week will be an uphill battle against Brian Kelly and his defense.
Navy is 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS, and 5 of their 8 games have hit the over.
Vegas started this week with the Fighting Irish as 10-point favorites and the over-under set at 55. With these lines, Vegas predicted Notre Dame to win 33-22. These lines have since changed, shifting it to a lower scoring game and in the Midshipmen favor. Currently, the lines are Notre Dame as 7.5-point home favorites and the over-under set at 54.5. The current lines are saying that the Fighting Irish will win this game 31-24. Also, 52% of the public and 51% of the money is on Navy; therefore the lines changed in their favor. As for the over-under, 51% of the public is on the under, and 58% of the money is on the over, and that is why there has only been a half-point change since the beginning of the week.
Bet of the Week: (Parlay ND -7.5 and Under 54.5)
The bet of the week has been 7-1 so far; we missed the Virginia Tech game, so now it is time to spice it up and finish the season hot. The first half of this game is what scares me the most because I can see the Fighting Irish lose some discipline on the defensive side and allow a home run type play. But after halftime and some adjustments, Navy’s offense doesn’t scare me, and the Fighting Irish defense will dominate the second half just like they did against UVA. Look for the first half of the game to remind us of the Louisville season-opener where Navy just runs all over us and Ian Book and the offense respond right back. I can see the game being tied or within 3-points at half and then Notre Dame walking away with it in the second. My prediction for the game is 31-17 Notre Dame.