Notre Dame Recruiting: True Success Of The 2019 Class Will Be Felt In 2020

If I had to pick one word to describe the 2019 recruiting effort it would be: professional.

It was known from the very beginning the class would be small. The Irish signed 27 players last season, they over-signed if you wish to call it that, and the scholarship numbers would be untenable if they did something like that again.

And while the class was going to be small, they still had needs to fill, mainly on the offensive line, defensive line, and in the secondary. Thus they had to be efficient in filling those spots, and they couldn’t simply address them with numbers. They couldn’t mess around with multiple offers or go “big game hunting” in other areas with flashy players. Identify the target that was realistic, secure the commitment, and move on to the next. And that is exactly what they did.

This class was largely filled before the team kicked off against Michigan, with just a few commitments in season, and possibly two more coming prior to the February signing period. They currently sit 13th nationally as a class, with a chance to move up to #11 if they sign four star defensive end Isaiah Foskey and four star linebacker Asa Turner (which could happen as soon as today). Of course, other schools have the chance to move up as well, so I’d say 13-15 is Notre Dame’s number. And that was always going to be the case, given the way Notre Dame set up their recruiting board.

There is a case to be made the Irish need more star power, and it’s a pretty persuasive case. They are again without a five star, and as of today they don’t have a single player in the top 100. (Safety Kyle Hamilton sits at #103 and is participating in the Army All-American bowl game, which could raise his stock. He’s already seen a huge jump in his ranking this year.)

Notre Dame wants to compete at the highest level, and they are their right now. But, eventually they’ll want to enter the playoff as favorites and not double digit underdogs. They’ll need to stack the roster with higher end talent to do that, and this class doesn’t quite get there. Notre Dame has built a playoff roster, but perhaps not yet a championship roster. (Hopefully I’m very wrong about this in a week.)

That said, this class could be a building block for that, and sets up the 2020 class to get over the hump.

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Notre Dame Crushed The Offensive and Defensive Lines

Given the way recruiting goes with skill position players, if Notre Dame is going to win consistently they need to be better than people inside, on both sides of the ball. The last two years are a perfect encapsulation of that. Notre Dame was able to hang with Georgia because of a stellar front 7 on defense and a strong offensive line. Notre Dame has crushed USC inside two years in a row. They stifled Michigan with their defensive front. The greatest positive from the last two classes is Brian Kelly see that and have emphasized that.

Five of their top six recruits play either on the defensive line or the offensive line. All four of their offensive line haul are top 230 players, and they have a quartet of four star defensive linemen with a possible fifth in top 200 defensive end Isaiah Foskey. That is how you win consistently at Notre Dame.

The weakness in this class is the offensive skill positions. They don’t have any skill players rated as four stars, they signed zero tight ends, one quarterback, one running back, and two receivers. But, we’ve seen Notre Dame survive, even thrive, offensively with players who the recruiting services didn’t covet. And that tide could turn in 2020.

2019’s Success Is 2020’s Gain

Because the Irish coaches had locked in the 2019 class so early, they’ve been hitting 2020 very hard, which could lead to a boom in the skill areas.

They have already secured the commitments of the first and second ranked tight ends in the class in Michael Mayer (101st nationally) and Kevin Bauman (120th), to go along with 113th ranked quarterback Drew Pyne. They are in excellent position with athlete AJ Henning (51st), and wide receiver Jordan Johnson (47th). They are crystal balled at 50% with wide receiver Gee Scott Jr. (70th), and hold a 100% crystal ball prediction with athlete Enzo Jennings (95th).

The Irish staff has been on these guys for months, a huge head start when they’d normally be working to lock in the 2019 class.

It’s not uncommon to look at classes in two year strings, and that might be the best way to evaluate the 2019 group, coupled with 2020. Because it is unlikely the possible success of 2020 can happen without the 2019 class coming together the way it did.

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7 comments

  1. duranko 4 weeks ago

    DURANKO R.I.G.H.T.T

    Duranko Recruiting Index Grading Highly Talented Teams.

    After several years of investigating the “PURE TALENT” level of teams, isolating out:
    Coaching
    Player development
    Injuries
    Early departures, transfers, defections

    We have arrived at a breakthrough. As Phil Steele is wont, we will not discuss our methodology, but after backtesting, it identifies, better than any previous tool we have seen, the IMPACTFUL talent level of teams, providing a purer ranking of player talent, and championship potential. In most cases you need to
    Win your division
    Win your conference championship
    Winn two games in the playoffs.
    Cream rises. Yeah, Bama, ‘18 is the exception that proves the rule.

    You will note in recent years that the same teams often wind up in the Conference championships and playoffs. We’ve always understood it, but prior to the DRIGHTT have not been able to quantify it.

    Our methodology is proprietary. It does rely on publicly available recruiting and evaluation information of one sort or another.

    Here, high is good, the higher the better.

    Here are the top teams
    BAMA 3.76
    USC 2.97
    OH ST 2.30
    Aub 2.13
    FSU 1.92
    GA 1.88
    LSU 1.70
    FL. 1.28
    Clem 1.17
    A&M 1.11
    Mich 1.04
    TN 1.00
    TX 1.00
    ND .97
    UCLA .96
    Penn St. .84
    Miami .74
    Stan .64
    So Car. .61
    Ore .52
    Ole Miss .49
    Mich Stat .47
    Wash .44

    The rest? Just tiltin’ at windmills
    You wonder why Bama’s in every year, look at this chart.
    You wonder why Ga, Clem, OSU and OU are in often, look at this chart.
    Caution, without revealing our algorithm, these numbers can change SWIFTLY in a year. You may see that with Georgia in our 2019 rankings.

    You must have coaching to win. That will explain the potential disconnect between USC’s high ranking here and their feckless performance on the field of honor.

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  2. Greg Flammang 4 weeks ago

    It’s always tough to write about recruits in a way that can appear to degrade the lower rated players. You mention several players on the cusp of five star status, and that is correct. Hamilton is the 22nd ranked player overall in the 247 house rankings for example. So that’s a good point. But I look at it like draft picks. The top 50 guys are akin to high first round picks. The top 100 are lower first round picks. After that is the second round and so on. Lamenting the lack of first round picks doesn’t mean those second and third rounders are bad. Some of them will hit big! But, we still want as many first rounders as possible. That’s all I mean. Thanks for reading Jimmy!

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    1. Greg Flammang 4 weeks ago

      This was in response to Jimmy below

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    2. Jimmy 4 weeks ago

      I’m with you for the most part. I do, however, feel that the top 50 players get too much credit out of
      high school. There definitely are the Randy Moss types every once in awhile, but the ratings have
      been a very mixed bag ,performance wise ,over the years. Not an exact science that’s for sure.
      Hopefully, most of ours will pan out and develope. Btw, thanks for your articles. I do enjoy them. I
      just thought maybe some of our guys ,that their own high school coaches(and others) projected to be possible 1st round type players in the future, would definitely be considered difference makers. Let’s hope! Lol. Anyway, thanks again and look forward to your next article. Have a great Christmas:)

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  3. BC 4 weeks ago

    I’m actually not concerned about the lack of 5 stars. Those guys over the years have largely been disappointing and/or bad fits at ND. ND has really identified and recruited very well over the past few years and this class is no different. I think it’s a dynamite class. Plus with the level of quality coaching now at ND, many of these 3 & 4 stars will play like 5 stars after being developed by the ND coaching staff. Wasn’t Julian Love a 3 star? Now he’s going to be a 1st-2nd round pick

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  4. Greg Kelly 4 weeks ago

    Just went through USA Today’s top 100 list. Not one Notre Dame recruit. Who cares, Notre Dame has great coaching

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    1. Jimmy 4 weeks ago

      USA Today is just another opinionated guess like the others. Rivals has 4 ND players ranked in the
      Top 100… 247 sports has 5 or 6 in top 150. Those services are much more heralded than USA Today. It is virtually impossible to rank kids like that anyway.. ND’s class is loaded with “stars”. This article is a little disappointing by making many of these players seem average, and they are simply not. Matter of fact a couple of them are on the cusp of getting a “5 star” rating but in all actuality who cares
      whether they get it or not. It does not change their ability one iota. We have a heck of a class ,and with a higher scholarship count, would have been a top 5 class. No worries

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