Notre Dame vs. SMU Prediction, Odds & How to Watch

#3 AP#3 Coaches

Notre Dame

5–0·FBS Independents
Upcoming
#24 AP#21 Coaches

SMU

4–1·ACC
Saturday, November 21, 20267:30 PM ETNotre Dame StadiumNotre Dame, INNBC / Peacock

Projection and betting lines

Win Probability

Pregame
89% Notre Dame
ND 89% SMU 11%
CFBD pregame model

The Line

Consensus · 1 book
Spread
ND−17.5
Total
56.5
Moneyline
ND−1200
SMU +750
Betting lines by provider
Provider Spread Total ND ML SMU ML
DraftKings ND −17.5 56.5 −1200 +750

Odds and projections updated

Venue & Conditions

Notre Dame Stadium

Notre Dame, IN

The Stadium

Capacity
77,622

Broadcast

Kickoff
7:30 PM ET
Network
NBC / Peacock

Stat Comparison

2026 through wk 5 · per game
Notre Dame Advantage in full color SMU
41.2 #15
Scoring Offense
PPG
34.6 #48
11.8 #7
Scoring Defense
PPG allowed
23.0 #66
428.4 #47
Total Offense
YPG
484.2 #18
216.4 #1
Total Defense
YPG allowed
312.0 #37
161.6 #65
Rushing Offense
YPG
138.2 #97
58.4 #4
Rushing Defense
YPG allowed
141.6 #70
266.8 #39
Passing Offense
YPG
346.0 #4
158.0 #14
Passing Defense
YPG allowed
170.4 #25
40.4 #77
3rd Down Offense
Conversion %
51.6 #14
37.5 #70
3rd Down Defense
Conversion % allowed
25.7 #7
+2.00 #2
Turnover Margin
Per game
−0.80 #114
32:33 #31
Time of Possession
Per game
29:38 #83
2.80 #20
Sacks
Per game
3.40 #7

# = national rank among 138 FBS teams · 2026 through wk 5

Program Profile

Bars show national percentile
Notre Dame FBS Independents
Marcus Freeman
Talent Composite247Sports
953.0
#6 nationally
Returning ProductionShare of 2026 output
51.2%
#54 nationally
SP+ RatingBill Connelly
+28.1
#3 nationally
FPI RatingESPN
+27.8
#3 nationally
SMU ACC
Rhett Lashlee
Talent Composite247Sports
764.5
#31 nationally
Returning ProductionShare of 2026 output
56.9%
#49 nationally
SP+ RatingBill Connelly
+13.0
#26 nationally
FPI RatingESPN
+9.0
#40 nationally

Last Five Games

2026 season
SMU 4–1
W 25–16 vsBoston College W 34–24 vsMissouri State L 31–41 @Louisville W 56–10 vsUC Davis W 27–24 @Florida State

Statistics are provided by third-party data sources and may occasionally contain errors or omissions. Spot something off? Contact us and we'll correct it.