#3AP#3Coaches
Notre Dame
3–0 · FBS Independents
Final
27
–
10
Michigan State
2–1 · Big Ten
Advanced Stats Notre Dame vs. Michigan State 2026
ELO & Win Probability
| Pregame | Postgame | Δ | Postgame Win Prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 2,070 | 2,080 | +10 | 99.4% |
| Michigan State | 1,528 | 1,518 | −10 | 0.6% |
Advanced Statistics
| Notre Dame | Stat | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Plays | 48 |
| 10 | Drives | 9 |
| 12.16 | Total PPA | -5.04 |
| -5.04 | Total PPA Allowed | 12.16 |
| 11.79 | Passing PPA | -3.69 |
| -3.69 | Passing PPA Allowed | 11.79 |
| 1.16 | Rushing PPA | 0.04 |
| 0.04 | Rushing PPA Allowed | 1.16 |
| 48.5% | Success Rate | 37.5% |
| 37.5% | Success Rate Allowed | 48.5% |
| 56.9% | Standard Downs Success Rate | 44.1% |
| 44.1% | Standard Downs Success Rate Allowed | 56.9% |
| 23.5% | Passing Downs Success Rate | 21.4% |
| 21.4% | Passing Downs Success Rate Allowed | 23.5% |
| Points / Opportunity | ||
| 1.0 | Explosiveness | 1.1 |
| 1.1 | Explosiveness Allowed | 1.0 |
| Field Position Average Predicted Points | ||
| Field Position Average Start | ||
| Havoc Db | ||
| Havoc Front Seven | ||
| Havoc Total | ||
| 2.9 | Line Yards | 2.0 |
| 2.0 | Line Yards Allowed | 2.9 |
| 0.3 | Open Field Yards | 0.2 |
| 0.2 | Open Field Yards Allowed | 0.3 |
| 0.8 | Power Success | 0.8 |
| 0.9 | Second Level Yards | 0.5 |
| 0.5 | Second Level Yards Allowed | 0.9 |
| 0.3 | Stuff Rate | 0.3 |
| 0.3 | Stuff Rate Allowed | 0.3 |
Statistics are provided by third-party data sources and may occasionally contain errors or omissions. Spot something off? Contact us and we'll correct it.