#13AP#15Coaches
Notre Dame
5–2 · FBS Independents
Final
34 24
#20AP#21Coaches
USC
5–2 · Big Ten
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 7:30 PM ETNotre Dame Stadium · Notre Dame, INNBC/Peacock

Advanced Stats Notre Dame vs. USC 2025

ELO & Win Probability

Pregame Postgame Δ Postgame Win Prob
Notre Dame 2,196 2,193 −3 98.1%
USC 1,904 1,907 +3 1.9%

Advanced Statistics

Notre Dame Stat USC
71 Plays 69
12 Drives 13
12.43 Total PPA 4.53
4.53 Total PPA Allowed 12.43
-2.25 Passing PPA 10.18
10.18 Passing PPA Allowed -2.25
14.68 Rushing PPA -5.66
-5.66 Rushing PPA Allowed 14.68
49.3% Success Rate 33.3%
33.3% Success Rate Allowed 49.3%
53.8% Standard Downs Success Rate 29.2%
29.2% Standard Downs Success Rate Allowed 53.8%
36.8% Passing Downs Success Rate 42.9%
42.9% Passing Downs Success Rate Allowed 36.8%
Points / Opportunity
1.0 Explosiveness 1.7
1.7 Explosiveness Allowed 1.0
Field Position Average Predicted Points
Field Position Average Start
Havoc Db
Havoc Front Seven
Havoc Total
3.3 Line Yards 2.0
2.0 Line Yards Allowed 3.3
2.9 Open Field Yards 0.2
0.2 Open Field Yards Allowed 2.9
0.8 Power Success 1
1.6 Second Level Yards 0.7
0.7 Second Level Yards Allowed 1.6
0.2 Stuff Rate 0.3
0.3 Stuff Rate Allowed 0.2

Statistics are provided by third-party data sources and may occasionally contain errors or omissions. Spot something off? Contact us and we'll correct it.