We’ve talked about the weather all week long with regards to the Notre Dame – NC State game this weekend and just hours from kickoff, it looks like the weather will create some very poor playing conditions today. At one point this week it looked like Raleigh wouldn’t be hit too hard by the rains from Hurricane Matthew but as of Saturday AM, it looks like it will get more rain than previously expected.
As of our Thursday morning weather update, Raleigh was expected to get 2-3 inches of rain. According to the National Weather Service of Raleigh this morning though, Raleigh could get upwards of 5 inches of rain now.
— NWS Raleigh (@NWSRaleigh) October 8, 2016
Raleigh is also squarely in the “Wind Advisory” area of the weather maps above. It is not in the “Hurricane Warning” section, but conditions do not look pleasant for playing football based on these latest projections.
This latest forecast will things extremely difficult on an Irish offense that needs to pass the football to be successful. In my prediction post yesterday the forecast didn’t look this bad, but with the latest forecast let’s just say that I am not nearly as confident in my prediction as I was when I wrote that post.
With this latest forecast the team that is able to run the football consistently will win this game and scoring should be much lower than originally projected. If you can still bet the under on this one, it looks like a strong bet. If I were to revise my prediction at this point with the latest forecast, I wouldn’t go with Notre Dame 42-35. I would probably stick with my pick of the Irish just since I don’t want to think about the consequences of Notre Dame losing but I would go with a much lower score – something like 28-21 at the high end and 21-14 on the low end. Field goals don’t look like they will be options this afternoon.
As of 7:30 AM there haven’t been any statements or tweets from either Notre Dame or NC State about any changes to the start time of this game so it looks like it’s going to be a soaker out there for Notre Dame and NC State this afternoon. Hopefully the Irish offensive line is up to the task and plays its best game of the season today. Otherwise Notre Dame’s bowl eligibility will be in serious jeopardy