North Carolina
2–2 · ACC
Final
26 – 37
#3AP#3Coaches
Notre Dame
5–0 · FBS Independents
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 12:00 PM ETKenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NCESPN/Disney+

Advanced Stats Notre Dame @ North Carolina 2026

ELO & Win Probability

Pregame Postgame Δ Postgame Win Prob
North Carolina 1,396 1,398 +2 0.0%
Notre Dame 2,084 2,082 −2 100.0%

Advanced Statistics

North Carolina Stat Notre Dame
51 Plays 78
9 Drives 10
8.76 Total PPA 21.41
21.41 Total PPA Allowed 8.76
9.88 Passing PPA 11.86
11.86 Passing PPA Allowed 9.88
0.33 Rushing PPA 10.72
10.72 Rushing PPA Allowed 0.33
37.3% Success Rate 55.1%
55.1% Success Rate Allowed 37.3%
38.7% Standard Downs Success Rate 62.9%
62.9% Standard Downs Success Rate Allowed 38.7%
35.0% Passing Downs Success Rate 25.0%
25.0% Passing Downs Success Rate Allowed 35.0%
Points / Opportunity
1.5 Explosiveness 1.0
1.0 Explosiveness Allowed 1.5
Field Position Average Predicted Points
Field Position Average Start
Havoc Db
Havoc Front Seven
Havoc Total
3.1 Line Yards 4.0
4.0 Line Yards Allowed 3.1
0.1 Open Field Yards 0.6
0.6 Open Field Yards Allowed 0.1
0 Power Success 0.8
0.9 Second Level Yards 1.2
1.2 Second Level Yards Allowed 0.9
0.3 Stuff Rate 0.1
0.1 Stuff Rate Allowed 0.3

Statistics are provided by third-party data sources and may occasionally contain errors or omissions. Spot something off? Contact us and we'll correct it.